February 16, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9A |
9 |
Marie From Parie |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Malabar |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Cocktail Waitress |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4A |
2 |
Dialin |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Very Charming |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Joyful Noise |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Bagels and Lox |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
I Am On My Way |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
3 |
Wise Trade |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fifteen K |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Starting Tour |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yesterdaysplan |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hail the Queen |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
No Stone Unturned |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Call Me Jelly Roll |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Caterina One |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Empire Panther |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Kentucky Smooth |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Street Review |
1.40 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Third Son |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8A |
8 |
French’s Quest |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chocomount |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Disco Express |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9A |
9 |
Quest of Glory |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bay Hill |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Offshore Trip |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bad Angle Burke |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Son of Flicker |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Saturday Fighter |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Jackgreerstubhutch |
1.40 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Seventyseven Force |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Belmonte |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
Nonno Pietro |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
L’Overture |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Linda’s Nekia |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brooklyn Sardy |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Blazing Reed |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Son of Tyranny |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
6 |
Watchmeneighneigh |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Miracle Wood S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Alwaysmining |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gray Magician |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tybalt |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mount Travers |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trainfourtwentyone |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wendell Fong |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Wide Country S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Our Super Freak |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paynterbynumbers |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Two Dozen Roses |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crafty’s Dream |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Las Setas |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
No Mo Lady |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bella Noire |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Who U Gonna Call |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – John B. Campbell S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Liberty Lane |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Discreet Lover |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Colonel Juan |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Forewarned |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Unbridled Juan |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
5 |
Monongahela |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Johnny Jump Up |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Marengo Road |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
7 |
General Downs |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
12 |
8 |
Grasshoppin |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
10 |
6 |
Bonus Points |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
4 |
Leitone (CHI) |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – General George S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Something Awesome |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncontested |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Still Having Fun |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Home Run Maker |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Colonel Sharp |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Life in Shambles |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Laki |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Do Share |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Rockinn On Bye |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
It’s Good to Be Us |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Moe Trouble |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Cordmaker |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
14 |
14 |
Long May You Run |
20.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
1 |
1 |
Majestic Dunhill |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Barbara Fritchie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Timeless Curls |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Spiced Perfection |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dawn the Destroyer |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Late Night Pow Wow |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ms Locust Point |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Your Love |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honor Way |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shimmering Aspen |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Devine Mischief |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Cousin Martha |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
11 |
10 |
Lady Vicki |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Sierra Leona |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Velocita Brillante |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rein Supreme |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rumor Ridge |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mary’s Jewel |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Firth |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Toma |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pearl Gem |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Janelle Dreams |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queen of Schmooze |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.