February 16, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thread the Needle | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anne’s Song | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon High | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joule | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finlee | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tales of Royalty | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Starlite Mission | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out of Orbit | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Roxy Girl | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cartwheel | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Babe | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Infatuation | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jazzy J | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Type | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Me | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Emmzy | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trimmed in Grey | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cheatham Hill | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cornetta’s Choice | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Becca Takes Charge | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take It All Back | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Graces | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alvernia | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Champayne | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandra’s Mine | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spartiatis | 0.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samadi Sky | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imasuperstar | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Readyheartandsoul | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Great Samurai | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peculiar Sensation | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun for Hire | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Takeoff | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danny California | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Jo | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Latin Love Bug | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | There Goes Jose | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beach Access | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bigsouljoel | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call the Cat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Local Edition | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Giant | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simma Cum Laude | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Won’t Be Missed | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Monteleone | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Asset | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bon Raison | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tap Master | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indimaaj | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Broadway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Disguise | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pauseforthecause | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Startwithsilver | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absatootly | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palladian Bridge | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Filibustin | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Still Miss You | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queeb | 50.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bettor Bank On It | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tazmonian Devil | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Everything Pazible | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Simbasalltrouble | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Adversary | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chuckles | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dash for Dollars | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monaghan | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Inflection | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Icey Cash | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chef Funny Money | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.