February 15, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
It’s Game Time |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Honor Run |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Multiple |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
3 |
Mr. Tilch |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
4 |
Tri Try Colors |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Le Gros Bill |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
2 |
Rafter |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Citi Party |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baccarat Fashion |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Field Letters |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Paz the Wine |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Liz’s Smile |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Simonela |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
E J’s Revenge |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4A |
4 |
Bobby G |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Incorporate |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Chill Factor |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Kopper Wired |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Broad Expanse |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Huyana |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9A |
7 |
Gorbachov |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
5 |
Informality |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
You’ll Like It |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
New Stones |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Top Hat Voyager |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Chesapeakecity |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Perfect Heir |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Father Don |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stacksdenero |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dirtyfoot |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Field Advantage |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sacred Walk |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nicholas and Me |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
U Rock It |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Royal Crusader |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Workin On a Dream |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Stipa |
50.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Baravelli |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Bull |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucacito |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Top Hat Ragtop |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Csabawaba |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Once More Eh |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Elevated Forever |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3A |
3 |
Vegas Tycoon |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Vorian |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charging Lion |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Glad Dad |
2.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Candy Wompus |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Ice Docket |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8A |
7 |
Kitchen Soup |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ricardito |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Telesa |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Greasedlightning |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lonely Drifter |
1.40 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Gray |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Stormin |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lill Mave |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Springtime Wind |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Autostrade |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Calvi |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Won and Done |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Toe Curlin’ Kiss |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cousin Jimmy |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Swing Step |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lion Lord |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Goodluckjohnathan |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Victory Chimes |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.