February 15, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Power Boss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Zealous | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Replicator | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mutaraabit | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Morning | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rucksack | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Run for Boston | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | There He Goes | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shook Em Up | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clonedsimmard | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Martini Lane | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Skies Forever | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kavansberg | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ma Meatloaf | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Bird | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Style | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Mama | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bee’snbee’s | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Avalina | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Phil’s Babe | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Brown Cat | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bizness Beauty | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Karabessa | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gaby Vee | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Controllingthegold | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Astrology Hill | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Jen Brady | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simona | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Crush | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jacqueline D | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Conquest | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Crossing | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Promise Me Roses | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gallant Bid | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Loverboy Lou | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thenorthremembers | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Asher the Dasher | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Lucky | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deputy Zapper | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wisecrack | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jump Ruler | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crimson Frost | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tanya’s Gem | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridledadventure | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Face It | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D J’s Favorite | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Missbigtimes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magari | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ouro Verde | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Climb the Ladder | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tequila Sunday | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lolli | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catania Rose | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiffany’s Vision | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.