February 14, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Snap Hook |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Abe Froman |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Run Rite |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mjolnir |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Souper Warrior |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Russian Wine |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
A I Initiative |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Country Strong |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Money Purse |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blue Magic |
1.60 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chief Bow No Move |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Monja |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cocktails Or Candy |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bandida Rags |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Discreet Heat |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Parade Blue |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Inhibition |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Over Sensual |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Pass the Butter |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Peace Accord |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
U S Academy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Wisely |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Indurate |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Bad Boy E. J. |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Robert |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
5 |
Vettel |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
3 |
Marnesia One Step |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
4 |
Second Encore |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
6 |
Archie’s Song |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Grenadier |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Winning Drive |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smoker |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Luckytobeinamerica |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saint Larned |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Big Sport |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Elusive Ro |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Dalal |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alpilles |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hit the Curb |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gran Surprise |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Curious Zelda |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot Fudge Honey |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dillon’s Kitty |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sky Shaft |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Oscura |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Little Christina |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Proud Legacy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
1 |
Gracias Adios |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
2 |
Neuqua |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
5 |
Love and Lemons |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Specialcnsydration |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Wishfully |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Music Maker |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Diva’s Revenge |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Claudia |
8.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Ny Beth Getsitdone |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Shanghaisweetheart |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Go Girl Gone |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Saucy Teen |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Magna Paciencia |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Grand Tap |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Farley |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Andronikos |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Shanghai Noon |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
1 |
Teak |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Thorpe d’Oro |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
6 |
Visions of You |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
2 |
Dublin Tinker |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
5 |
Escarapela |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
3 |
Ranger’s Coming |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Crumb Bun |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Busy Signal |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Starship Nala |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Bimini |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
A Bit of Both |
1.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Brunette Princess |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Avocado Toast |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
On With God |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Happy Hat |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Wildcat Blast |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Dynamic Dancer |
1.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Soupery Dupery |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Wahoowah |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Codeseventyseven |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
Art’s Table |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
4 |
Stuck With You |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
7 |
Cause for Pardon |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
8 |
Calypso Deep |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.