February 14, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Just Mallory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lil Kylie | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Labelhermypal | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emery’s Dream | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Te Na Na | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Darby | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strikingly Smart | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Labruna | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Honest Road | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Wilderness Gate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Commanding Candy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trip Candy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Par One | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Rooster | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cube | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shackleford Road | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magnum Maduro | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Optimal | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street Treasure | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Civil | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spectactical | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortythreeoeight N | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buddy Rocket | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hawaiin Warrior | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dialect | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raise Em Up | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rachael Got Even | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spark Joy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ruthless Child | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Red Rose | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Havennow | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bing’s d’Oro | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s a Fine Dime | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Weightlessness | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Soco Unbridled | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Oh Bette | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady’s Tribute | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hallowed Lassie | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lil Blinkey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Card Shark | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mikey’s Mouse | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kye’s Addycat | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lion Rampant | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Horace Charles | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Seaside Sergeant | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tick Tock Tizzy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bronco Sally | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unapologetic Me | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Ballad | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Ride | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Planet | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spider Dance | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tryon Summer | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delachaise | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ballyhack | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baja Viper | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oro de Tejano | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aladdin’s Temple | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charcoal | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Climber | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smithwick | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Famous Pen Pal | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moti | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taleoftwofriends | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Just in Tee | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Reverend Aj | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Milk Chocolate | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bye Bye Birdstone | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taste for Talent | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mula Mano | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | A Song for Arch | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risky Steps | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Im a Patriot | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Psychic Energy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Go Mick | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Trappezoid | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rule Taylor Rule | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Sis | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kris T. | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meister Missy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kenai Beauty | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Over Tipped | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Missing Piece | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loranger Linda | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honduras Girl | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Rae | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.