February 13, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jolie Gee | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pleasant Buffy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Becky’s Dude | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stylist | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carencro Special | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agirlnamedsyd | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Frenzy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elody | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fantasy Frills | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dorkas | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Charlie’s Affair | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ide Be Doc Adams | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Catlab | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Changewilldoyagood | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Smitty | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crush | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Picadilly Roadster | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Our Rapidash | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G. A. Betting | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mundo Mutadda | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bee Jay Gee | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Island Blue | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | All in Bronson | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ladygogently | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Willow | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Jen | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bliss La Vie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Supersport Sally | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bama Girl | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Custom for Carlita | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Mallory’s On | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fickle Flash | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Premier Song | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heir of Storm | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Personal Conflict | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Artist by the Sea | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Singing Aces | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Andy Man | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hawks Peak | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap That Word | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Burning Runner | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rockin Rusty Rue | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Pal Jac | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | American Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Strollin Spree | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nippy Red | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Cane | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Booth Road Shine | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blaising Guitar | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of the Prince | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | And Yet Another | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luke the Drifter | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grand Little Man | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cook | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chief Knockaway | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beat Goes On | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gueydan | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie Ballado | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Nasty Time | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forum Form | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uncle Bird | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whistling Ranger | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Inagent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Calmack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Confederate Yell | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kid Correa | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saved by Zero | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sobriquiet | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matou | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gentleman’s Prize | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Run My Pal | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Drewstormin | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Mario | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Speedy Huntur | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Yalisha | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Temple Shadow | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Sang Dixie | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Big Money | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Wekati | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waitin On the Gold | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Steal | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kodiak Sky | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Argumentally Elle | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Girls Are the Best | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Quiet Dude | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Cool Production | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Gary | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Philly | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Azaruk | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Tapster | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cayenne | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Gibbs | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Huffs Untouchable | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Song and a G | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Distinct Quality | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Memory of Swim | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hidden Data | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friend of Dubai | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doc’s Gold | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interactif Moment | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Memories | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.