Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 10, 2019

February 10, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Strawn’s Cash 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Meanbone 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Rock City Roadhog 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Promising Shoes 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Arch Revenge 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Haus 4.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Jack Be Quick 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Hot Blooded Song 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Carmelo 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Three Time Charmer 15.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Hot Item 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 7 Out of the Office 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Ship Stalker 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Lead Astray 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 4 Calandave 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Surely You Jest 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Sergios Limoncello 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 State of Charm 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trask 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Deano 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Sambucca 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 News Flash 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 3 Moro Texas 4.50 4 8-1
8 7 Collection 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Bear Trappe 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Intrysting 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lucky Britches 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Flight Risk 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Giant Pulpit 3.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Derecho Warrior 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Dedicated 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dahik 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Home Run Trick 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Intimidating 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flat Out Beautiful 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Galahad Kid 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 One Man Party 2.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Travolta 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ikon Who 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Shell Fire 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Barefootbootlegger 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Preacher Time 10.00 SCRATCH
8A 8 Candy for Three 3.00 2.4 5-1
6A 6 After Hours 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cash for the Soul 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Guatemala City 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sammy Wonder Stone 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Made to Fit 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Greeleys Charm 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Zimmerman 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Duke of Kent 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Tiz Funny 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Summer’s Indy 2.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Bixby Lou 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 4 Barbary Hall 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Dance Proposal 4.00 4 7-1
2 1 Jackson Hill 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Pretty Greeley 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 I’ll Take It All 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 C Z Rocket 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Shotgun Kowboy 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Colonelsdarktemper 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 High North 4.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Adulator 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Exclamation Point 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Malibu Max 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Limation 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Heavy Roller 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Palace Princess 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Carolina Beach 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ultimate Mo 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Blessed Again 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Kid Sis 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Sundaysatthebeach 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Helena 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Cairo Cutie 8.00 5.6 11-1
12 10 She’s a Truckin 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Adari 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Paradise Bay 8.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 A. P. Princess 30.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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