Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 10, 2019

February 10, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ode to the Hunt 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Apartfromthecrowd 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Family Kitten 2.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Arpinella 3.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 On Cruise Control 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 False Accusation 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Schweets 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Snake Oil Charlie 30.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Mr. Papillon 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bally Squall 1.80 2.2 4-1
1 1 Lady Kim 2.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Do What It Takes 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 One Classy Lady 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 My Sebastiana 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Mama Lela 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Flying My Way 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Flashproudwild 30.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Lilroundtop 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 W W Concerto 1.80 3.3 6-1
8 8 Chovanes 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Love Tree 1.60 3.4 6-1
3 3 Dreamy Martini 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Il Faraone 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Not Chopped Liver 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Somedreamscometrue 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Strong Composition 30.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Game Day Drama 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Luckytobeinamerica 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Queen’s Bird 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Guerreron 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Followhisfootsteps 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Cagliari 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Perfect Enough 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Warrior Spirit 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 9 Big Alex 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Sovereign Warrior 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Listen to the Lion 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Break Curfew 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Katieleigh 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Brucia La Terra 3.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Orra Moor 2.50 4 7-1
4 4 Wildwood’s Beauty 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Farfalla 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Subtle Step 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tamit (IRE) 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ferdinanda 1.20 2.4 5-1
6 5 Miss Munnings 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Underestimate 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Kailee (IRE) 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Lenamarie 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brother Aaron 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Going for Gold 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Brud 20.00 SCRATCH
5 3 And Seek 4.00 2.5 5-1
10 7 Growth Engine 1.80 3 6-1
7 5 Thetrashmanscoming 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Ry’s the Guy 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 Mantra 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Impunity 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Goose Drank Wine 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Don Fager 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Black Pepper 1.20 2.3 4-1
12 12 Royalty Salvatore 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Salambo 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bound Bi Luck 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Townie 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 My Mr. Wonderful 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Cactus Catch Me 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Lumumba 20.00 7.1 14-1
9 9 Joe Cain 30.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 High Mischief 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Lovingrdsimmar 30.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Rigo 30.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Skychief 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Valid Point 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Icarius 6.00 5 10-1
11 11 Rochambeau 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Readyforprimetime 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Whata Show Off 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Sea of Cortez 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Spiritus Invictus 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Flashgun 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Bar Harbor 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Hardredcandy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Bryzzo 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Al Taweel 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Coniston 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Jegos Fire 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Get the Facts 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Hoover Tower 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Jupiter Rising 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Jo’s Bold Cat 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 National Honor 6.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Electro 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Graydar’s Resolve 20.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Good Old Boy 8.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Stormy Justin 12.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Lookin Forever 20.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Brag Dude 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Sky Knight 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Splicethemainbrace 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 The Right Path 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Outshine 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Jungle Warrior 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Ourbestfriend D L 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Combination 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Squeezadios 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Archidust 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 W W Springtime 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Admiral Lynch 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mine the Coin 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Betterment 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Flyin’ Robin 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Spindletop 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Firery Tale 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Oso Negro 4.00 6 11-1
2 2 Jerome Avenue 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Freedom’s Flight 15.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Sir Chubby 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Colman Joseph (IRE) 12.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Saltking 20.00 8.2 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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