February 10, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ode to the Hunt | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apartfromthecrowd | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Family Kitten | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arpinella | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | On Cruise Control | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | False Accusation | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Schweets | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Papillon | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bally Squall | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Kim | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Do What It Takes | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Classy Lady | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sebastiana | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mama Lela | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying My Way | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashproudwild | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lilroundtop | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | W W Concerto | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chovanes | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love Tree | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamy Martini | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Il Faraone | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not Chopped Liver | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Somedreamscometrue | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Composition | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Game Day Drama | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Luckytobeinamerica | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Queen’s Bird | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guerreron | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Followhisfootsteps | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cagliari | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Enough | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior Spirit | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big Alex | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sovereign Warrior | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Listen to the Lion | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Break Curfew | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Katieleigh | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brucia La Terra | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Orra Moor | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Farfalla | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Subtle Step | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tamit (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ferdinanda | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Munnings | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Underestimate | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kailee (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lenamarie | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brother Aaron | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Going for Gold | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brud | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | And Seek | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Growth Engine | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Thetrashmanscoming | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ry’s the Guy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mantra | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Impunity | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goose Drank Wine | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Don Fager | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Black Pepper | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Royalty Salvatore | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salambo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bound Bi Luck | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Townie | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Mr. Wonderful | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cactus Catch Me | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lumumba | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joe Cain | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Mischief | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lovingrdsimmar | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rigo | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Skychief | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valid Point | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icarius | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rochambeau | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Readyforprimetime | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whata Show Off | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea of Cortez | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spiritus Invictus | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flashgun | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bar Harbor | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hardredcandy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bryzzo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Al Taweel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Coniston | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jegos Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Get the Facts | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoover Tower | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jupiter Rising | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | National Honor | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Electro | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Graydar’s Resolve | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Old Boy | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stormy Justin | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lookin Forever | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brag Dude | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sky Knight | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Splicethemainbrace | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Right Path | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outshine | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jungle Warrior | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ourbestfriend D L | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Combination | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Squeezadios | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Archidust | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | W W Springtime | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Admiral Lynch | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mine the Coin | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Betterment | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flyin’ Robin | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spindletop | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Firery Tale | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Oso Negro | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerome Avenue | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom’s Flight | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Chubby | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colman Joseph (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saltking | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.