February 10, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tears for Paula 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Flying Rosie 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 McIlhenny 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Any Ole Thing 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Interslew 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Weavemeawinr 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Honest Bandit 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Velvet Vision 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Sandy’s Wager 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Soap Bubble 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Ace Destroyer 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Philosophy 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Uncapped 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Tobacco Road 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mine Inspector 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Vicksburg 6.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr Goodman 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Whatafind 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Lookin At Priority 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Comebackwilson 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Balance Due 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Reaffirmed 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Silver Wing Jim 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Cheap Shot 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Orageuse 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Artistic Quality 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Zee Ro Drop 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Blessed Union 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Sunniva 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Homefieldadvantage 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Good Business 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 I Love to Race 8.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Telekinesis 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Making a Marc 3.00 1.8 3-1
1A 4 Omega Moon 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Plot Twist 4.50 4 8-1
3 2 No Funny Biz 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Flat Lucky 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Transatlantic Kiss 6.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Candy Carlos 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Big Storm Coming 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cordero (IRE) 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Dragunov 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Yeowzer 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Real Glitter 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Baires Boy 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Irish Prospector 20.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Senor Blanco 4.50 6 11-1
3 3 A He’s an O’Prado 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 West Road 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Mr. Nine Five Four 50.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Plug Catcher 20.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Salt Bae 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sultry 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Student Body 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Natalie’s Mischief 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Thoughtless 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Sterling Miss 5.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ship of the Line 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Squadron Commander 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Landofthepharaohs 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mystic Link 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Tom Management 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Ian Glass 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Handsome Honey 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Most Mischief 6.00 5 9-1
9 7 Tom’s Last General 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Chief Envoy 15.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Citali 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Cha Mono 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Silis 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 7 Slideruler 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Moonlighting Majic 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Lodi Street 4.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 No Richie 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Chase the Bling 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Meshuga 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.