February 10, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Overheated | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Way Over Budget | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Vengeance | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Pleasantly | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saturdaynightfling | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Breeze | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lia Shivani | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giant Ending | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Nanny | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mikayah | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caoimhe | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deserted | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brazen Prince | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kumar | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mid Day Image | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unbridled Mesa | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spectator Sport | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tio Blas | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | American Wish | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ready to Escape | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Last Buck | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Knight | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eddie Boy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Flambe | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Ok Honey | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sander’s Empire | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Devil’s Flair | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She Makes Me Smile | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | T J’s Rose Ella | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Girl Abby | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Graeme | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Letmetakethiscall | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hexameter | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nth Degree | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rachel’s Blue Moon | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ironclad | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Felix in Fabula | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outplay | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coltandmississippi | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scarf It Down | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Biogio’s Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Split Time | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Unbridledadventure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | No Hayne No Gayne | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bonita Bianca | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Disguise | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frostie Anne | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Playinwiththeboys | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Frosty Margarita | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.