February 10, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Overheated 0.80 1.8 3-1
3 3 Way Over Budget 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Swift Vengeance 1.80 3.4 7-1
7 7 Flying Pleasantly 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Saturdaynightfling 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Sweet Breeze 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Lia Shivani 50.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Giant Ending 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Little Nanny 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Princess Mikayah 1.60 3.1 6-1
1 1 Caoimhe 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Deserted 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brazen Prince 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Kumar 1.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Mid Day Image 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Unbridled Mesa 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Spectator Sport 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tio Blas 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 American Wish 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ready to Escape 0.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Lem Me Tel Ya 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Our Last Buck 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 River Knight 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Eddie Boy 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Flambe 2.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Ok Honey 1.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Sander’s Empire 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 6 Devil’s Flair 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 She Makes Me Smile 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 T J’s Rose Ella 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Sarah’s Rainbow 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Our Girl Abby 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Honey Graeme 1.80 3.3 6-1
3 3 Letmetakethiscall 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Hexameter 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Nth Degree 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Rachel’s Blue Moon 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ironclad 0.60 1.8 3-1
4 4 Felix in Fabula 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Outplay 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Coltandmississippi 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Scarf It Down 12.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Biogio’s Rose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Split Time 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Unbridledadventure 15.00 SCRATCH
8 6 No Hayne No Gayne 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 3 Bonita Bianca 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Midnight Disguise 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Frostie Anne 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 Playinwiththeboys 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 4 Frosty Margarita 30.00 5.3 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.