February 9, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tough Kicks | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harlons Commision | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Image | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Snip | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blingonthwing | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Myositis Mystique | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On My Toes | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aint Annie Grand | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunarstrike | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bring the Dough | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cashanova | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Again | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moment | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Big City | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dictator | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cade’s On the Bump | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Zenucci | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gladyousawme | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pont Du Gard | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Papa’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock N Sake | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harbor Pilot | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maga Man | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Cake | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | True Emperor | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jack Snipe’s | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fiduciary Values | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blue Collar | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Cacha Na (CHI) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dictate Cool | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | N. D. Free | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zena Rules | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | C Islandsurprise | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Shantel Lanerie Memorial Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Liora | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Red Rounder | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elsa | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winter Sunset | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cypress Point | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Me | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Sevennotrump | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Coltonator | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chess Chief | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Box of Chocolates | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kasilof | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zapper Van Winkle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Legacy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fairway Magic | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Force | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Havennow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gizmo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bee Bit | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Fever | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trick of the Tail | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Finest Jewel | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clear as Day | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Darling Vera | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Temple City Terror | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lorette | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classical Magic | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zamzam | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sooner Schooner | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Landofthepharaohs | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Courtyard | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dream Maker | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Swordsman | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | West Texas | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Johny’s Bobby | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lero Lero | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Sundaysatthebeach | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blunt Force | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Verity Jane | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Desert Rendezvous | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Charge Annie | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gamblin Train | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alizee | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Up With a Twist | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Be Nimble | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tupelo Hon E | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Muskoka Lady | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cirrusly | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whats Yur Story | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Passport Required | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Letithappenquick | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Chimneyville | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Omega | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Andy Jones | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warnock Springs | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Custom Chrome | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doug’s Bug | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aces Destiny | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smooth Little Man | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.