February 9, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tough Kicks 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Harlons Commision 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Desert Image 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Little Snip 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Blingonthwing 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Myositis Mystique 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 On My Toes 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Aint Annie Grand 5.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Lunarstrike 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bring the Dough 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Cashanova 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Lemon Again 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Yabba Dabba Dude 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Moment 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mr. Big City 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Dictator 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Cade’s On the Bump 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Zenucci 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Gladyousawme 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Pont Du Gard 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Papa’s Boy 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rock N Sake 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Harbor Pilot 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Maga Man 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 King Cake 6.00 5 10-1
7 7 True Emperor 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Jack Snipe’s 20.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fiduciary Values 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Blue Collar 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 No Cacha Na (CHI) 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Dictate Cool 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 N. D. Free 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Zena Rules 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 C Islandsurprise 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Shantel Lanerie Memorial Overnight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Liora 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Red Rounder 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Elsa 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Winter Sunset 3.00 3 6-1
5 4 Cypress Point 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Naughty Me 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Sevennotrump 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 Coltonator 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Chess Chief 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Box of Chocolates 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 2 Kasilof 8.00 4 8-1
4 3 Zapper Van Winkle 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 My Legacy 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Fairway Magic 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Silent Force 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Havennow 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gizmo 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bee Bit 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Noble Fever 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Trick of the Tail 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Finest Jewel 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Clear as Day 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Darling Vera 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Temple City Terror 4.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 Lorette 8.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Classical Magic 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Zamzam 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Sooner Schooner 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Landofthepharaohs 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 6 Courtyard 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Dream Maker 1.80 3.2 6-1
2 1 Swordsman 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 West Texas 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 3 Johny’s Bobby 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 4 Lero Lero 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Sundaysatthebeach 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blunt Force 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Verity Jane 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Desert Rendezvous 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 In Charge Annie 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Gamblin Train 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Alizee 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Up With a Twist 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Be Nimble 8.00 6.6 12-1
11 10 Tupelo Hon E 6.00 7 13-1
10 9 Muskoka Lady 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Cirrusly 20.00 7.7 14-1
8 7 Whats Yur Story 20.00 8.7 16-1
13 11 Passport Required 10.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Letithappenquick 2.00 1.8 3-1
1A 9 Chimneyville 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Grand Omega 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 1 Andy Jones 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Warnock Springs 3.50 5.2 10-1
3 2 Custom Chrome 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Doug’s Bug 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Aces Destiny 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Smooth Little Man 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.