February 9, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Guest Appearance |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Da Due Run Run |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Dial Em In |
1.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Rock the Jukebox |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Front Money Morgan |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mia O Maya |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Anabelle |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shesthecatsmeow |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Accustomed to Hope |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Ms Louisa |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Dark Spirit |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
7 |
Hanging Lake |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Night Starlet S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Midnight Fantasy |
0.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crescentcitypretty |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Goodprofit |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Bitters |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cicada’s Song |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fugitive Lady |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Madeforlife |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Stakes) – La. Bred Premier Night Bon Temps Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Elle Les Yu |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Gg’s Gracefulgabby |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Millie |
1.40 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Untethered Soul |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Elektracutioner |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Toomuch |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just Glossy |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Green Lakes |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Summer |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Stakes) – La. Bred Premier Night Gentlemen Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Just Stormin |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zendelphian |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Greeley’s Dealer |
1.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Graceful |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crooked as Can Be |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mallory’s Bandit |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Big Boy Dave Rex |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Choose No More |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wabash Cannonball |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kapenta |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Stakes) – La Bred Premier Night Ragin Cajun Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
My Prophet |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
My Wise Cat |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Biblical Strength |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
It’s Mike’s Turn |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Skylas Gold |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
So Sorry Ruston |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
4 |
I Rate First |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Walking in Faith |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
9 |
Hunker Down |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
5 |
My New Guiter |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
8 |
River Bobcat |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – La. Bred Premier Night Ladies Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Lookout Mountain |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Madame Begue |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Galaxy Thirtysix |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zyanara |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Salty Martini |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Native Wahoo |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Maline |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tenpins Tempo |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kiss That Dude |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thegrayspider |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shea’s Lil Shug |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Elusive Pal |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Night Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ours to Run |
0.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sarge’s Daughter |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Minit to Stardom |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
La Mistake |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fiji D |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shakopee Town |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Frolic |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eye Craft |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lovely Charlie |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Prayers |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Night Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Pickett |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Cafe Du Monde |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Classy John |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jimi’s a Star |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Four Sevens |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shang |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Musada |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kantiana |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Night Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Pound for Pound |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Budro Talking |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Givemeaminit |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Underpressure |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grand Luwegee |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grande Basin |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Afleet Ascent |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Magic Vow |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Theoryintopractice |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Social Misfit |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mageez |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Why Joey Why |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Night Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Remember Daisy |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Testing One Two |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hyper Piper |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Special Blessing |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Al’s Gal |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Echoesoftime |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Safari Calamari |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Night Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Rock N Sake |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Monte Man |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Double Barrel Man |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Divine Bean |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bending Saint |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Luke’s Cajun Star |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wild Bert |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Win Lion Win |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Wonder Run |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mug Shot Man |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rose Needs a Check |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Forestdungone |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Book |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Noisey Boy |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Drewmisterio |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Star Banjo |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Taken Back |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Inferno |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.