February 8, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Say Yes Again | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marcia Rose | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foreign Connection | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adieu Mallory | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lassie’s Last Hour | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Street Runner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Family Ties | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kenai Cool | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singita Dreams | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Close to Me | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gioblast | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | How Did She Do It | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Houston Strong | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaydees in Town | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | White Birch | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wind Zee | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Top Ten Duchess | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Dori’s Birdies | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Arch’s Li’l Nieta | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Latina Cantina | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Emily’s Pegasus | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Haleys Court | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Safe Keeping | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Stella d’Oro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rubus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shakes Creek | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ninety One Assault | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overnight Success | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Tea Time | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artie’s Rumor | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Family Tree (GB) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Create Again | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Fate | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jailhouse Kitten | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wildscore | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tasting the Stars | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortunate Girl | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Reins | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Out for a Spin | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drinking Dixie | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special for You | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mine My Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Apollo’s Leap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sailing Solo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Take That for Data | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alittlevodka | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frankincense | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King of Candy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Gemmy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mucho Macho Bets | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Power Song | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Compagno | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tapit Wicked | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cheytac | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Freudian Finish | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Falaya | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grandezza | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Temperit | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Colony | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Liz | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Actress On Board | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lady Cleopatra | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rahway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | La Sola Ranger | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Express Run | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lounge Act | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | More Fun Again | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Oh My | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Queen of Connaught (GB) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roussalka | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gris Gris | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Don’t Tell Marge | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Love On Tides | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | General Basil Duke | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Carmelized | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Robert’s Prince | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Red Kid | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Grip | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unk’s Red Man | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hope for Value | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.