February 7, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vanishing Image | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | La Femme Royale | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Lu Sea | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sohni | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Wind | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Born to D’ Wild | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Kool Aid Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Yalisha | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | First Class Misty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Starmaline | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savvy Shipman | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tap Dance Star | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Brees | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Reckless Girl | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crimson Feline | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D J Soul Sista | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Greeley’s Banker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Boston Repo | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Geauxcro | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Gucci | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inspector Eddie | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liaison Halo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Major Ridge | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Noble Companion | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mr. Big City | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Betwithbothhands | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Aloo Ghost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Sarcastic | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Man Called Boady | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wellfield | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poppy Joe Rocks | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Way too Wicked | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sarcillo | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Humor | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lovesomuch | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Plumb Line | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bluewater Cat | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Three Twins | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | City Candy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Scatrattleandroll | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweetest Appeal | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halfway | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mimi’s Song | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaylie’s Boots | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Analyze This Cat | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Vincitore | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Full of Run | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Twist Off | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Combustible | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thunder Mesa | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Armament | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Albany Fleet | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Soul of Discretion | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnight Clear | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Briar Jumper | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Yourdecisionotmine | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zinger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Casses Story | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Power | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finglas | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hawaakom | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Party | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Retirement Fund | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stuart Hall | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | McFeely | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Aife | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sun Studio | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Quality | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B’s Ten | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruffina | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Serenade | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Holly Go Lightly | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Havinfunyet | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Missive | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mi Mi | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catkins | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cracker Jackson | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jimjeff | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Run for Three | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Hombre | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Glacken | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Da Van Geaux | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runciman | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jennovodka | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mira | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.