February 7, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flatexcel | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nolinski | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’tweallgetalong | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Lane | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Espresso Caliente | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dan C C’sman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Huracan | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No No Noah | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Air On Fire | 0.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Platinum Nugget | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Justinspeightofit | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smidge | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dublin Leprechaun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Big Engine | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Givetheman a Cigar | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Light the Posse | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Killala Bay | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Celtic Mission | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twofer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jump for Joy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Khaleesi | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Salty Smile | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wilburnmoney | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mercurian | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Exceed the Goal | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stars Wilburn | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stone Breaker | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Beachside | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Southern King | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kosciuszko | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiergan | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Woodbury | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hushion | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | High Roller | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Swiping Dan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Competitiveness | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | One River Place | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vicar’s Legend | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Binkster | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Domain | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heavy Meddle | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dooley | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ultimateenticement | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roaming Union | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Solid Wager | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backsideofthemoon | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stan the Man | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Exulting | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Bonus | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hit It Once More | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lion Sleeps | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nobody Move | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Thicket | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Its All Relevant | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Borsa Vento | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Pigeon | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Avast Matey | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifty | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Orpheus (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.