February 2, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stay Fond | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daria’s Angel | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mia Bella Rossa | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | She’sakittykat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Not About the Nail | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Motagally | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erlich | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stilts | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itgot Grandma | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Phantom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halstaat | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daddy D T | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lazarus Project | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Javelin | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bitumen | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toohottoevenspeak | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regalian | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gorelli | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paynterbynumbers | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solent | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cariba | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonewalker | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canarsie Girl | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Team Win | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Frolic | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Queendom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Sage | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Centrall | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Kathy’s Cause | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Take It All Back | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Banker | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Too Many Tales | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abby Normal | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Orbilicious | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Bull Feathers | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Street Chamber | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Wailin Josie | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Swaggerette | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir Ballantine | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preservationist | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J S Bach | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tour de Force | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caledonian | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hammerin Aamer | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Haudenosaunee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | T Loves a Fight | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Professor Snape | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Prankster | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Old Upstart | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zap Zap Zap | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Redyornothereicome | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Readyheartandsoul | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wage Acceleration | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Peculiar Sensation | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hokulea | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Macho | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Papa Shot | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Peter’s Project | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Horoscope | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dublinthepleasure | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ro Bear | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three to Thirteen | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fleet Irish | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | New York Hero | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Phone Funky Munky | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Withers S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tax | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lee | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Braintrust | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moretti | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not That Brady | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Winston | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Admire | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Mesa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Quest for Fire | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Thefinalcrazydude | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Altesino | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Love Jaxson | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | One More Tom | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All Clear | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hopper Dropper | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Carmine’s Honor | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buss the Bell | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mickey T | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shipsandgoods | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Won’t Be Missed | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.