February 1, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tough Kicks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | No Richie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Paddy’s Notes | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | About Our Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Riv | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Anytime Anyplace | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Kid | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carson Kan | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | M C Squared | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | What a Image | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | He’s Dann Good | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | T’ Cadeau | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Bull (AUS) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Showcase Mall | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | El Jake O | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Evening Tide | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tudox Lifting Off | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canny | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pugilist | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Cecile | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heavens Whisper | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarabi | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Magnolia | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leavem Britten | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Luck of the Draw | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crocodile Jacques | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Richie | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Changi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver King | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Natealyze | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I B Revolutionery | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Meditate | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bar Ryder | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swamp Ruler | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flatter the Queen | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mini Chunk | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buggy Brown | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood Dejavu | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Best Discretion | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cookies Are Good | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie Blu | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fist of Rage | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carrier Landing | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wings Up | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warriors Gem | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sword | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charcoal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woman With a Book | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maddy’s Pro | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beauty Boy | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Release the Beast | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hideaway Hero | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Time | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whathadhappenwuz | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tylers Bandit | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Letters | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Neverquitdreaming | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Butta Got Uncs Bac | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bumptybumpbump | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Fast | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Garrison K | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samargo | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lookin Back At It | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Keen Move | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Loranger Linda | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lady Fitzgerald | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz Darby | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Emery’s Dream | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mylie Idel | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Strikingly Smart | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Memory Magic | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mariposa | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weavemeawinr | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meg and Clair | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Any Ole Thing | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Count That | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.