February 1, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Still Krz | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forge | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deep Sea | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adulation | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Linns Boy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Givetheman a Cigar | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Iona Mobe | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Into a Hot Spot | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sam and Jax | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Morning | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mythajacul | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Legion Storm | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenency | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Did It | 1.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suremoney | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deputy Flag | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Skies Forever | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Lies | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quintarelli | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Estilo Femenino | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hay Field | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Filibustin | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tanya’s Gem | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Friend of Liberty | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Short Kakes | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Boy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Sriracha | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shiloh Lane | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Martini Lane | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Theresa’s Boy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well in Tune | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finn’s Posse | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Jayvien | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seediskid | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bitumen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Samadi Sky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Adirondack Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | T Loves a Fight | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | O Shea Can U See | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Truly a Moon Shot | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dancetrack | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Francis Freud | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Fifty Eight O G | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stone Breaker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Captain Frost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Clench | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Family Biz | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twelfthofneverland | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Durkin’s Call | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Czar | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ma Mo | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dazzling Speed | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Youth Gone Wild | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Gary Z | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Expense | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finlee | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roses From Ben | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Frosty Linz | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ferncourt | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.