January 31, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Accolade | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Local Edition | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Access | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Wise | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Won’t Be Missed | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call the Cat | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Marion | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not About the Nail | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arewehavingfunyet | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Satin Sheets | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moondance Joy | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milaya | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mom I Forgive You | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Phil’s Babe | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Avalina | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bizness Beauty | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Karabessa | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xanthique | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stonesintheroad | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take Me to Hardoon | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Style | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quietude | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stabilize | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustin Scones | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paynterbynumbers | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solent | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cariba | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stonewalker | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canarsie Girl | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Team Win | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Frolic | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Professor Snape | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | T Loves a Fight | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Prankster | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Upstart | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Readyheartandsoul | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wage Acceleration | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Haudenosaunee | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peculiar Sensation | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Great Samurai | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fifty Eight O G | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Orpheus (ARG) | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Escape | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Suas | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lohengrin Two | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Last Buck | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our American Star | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Run for Boston | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shook Em Up | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dublin Leprechaun | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Jayvien | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Theresa’s Boy | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Martini Lane | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Well in Tune | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Skies Forever | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kavansberg | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clonedsimmard | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.