January 27, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | That’s Speightful | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War of the States | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gottahaveaholiday | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tales of Royalty | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Sarah | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starship Zeus | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fillet of Sole | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Night | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Lincoln | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rogue Nation | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expert | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Loverboy Lou | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mandatory Payout | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Majid | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lucid Dream | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Never Felt Better | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mucho Lucky | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Deputy Zapper | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Outplay | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Pretentious | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shalako | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Let Me Go First | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Glencairn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Unpredictable | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Simma Cum Laude | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jibber Jabber | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Tribecca | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Speightful Kitten | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wrong Ben | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Analyze the Odds | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | P J Advantage | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Five Star Bunt | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Votre Coeur | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trouble for Skylar | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viradia | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tayler’s the Boss | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parlapiano | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Crossing | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zecha | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiffany’s Vision | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deep Sea | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pure Shot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Tommy T | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Runaway Lute | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Win With Pride | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Angry Moon | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jewel Can Disco | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Take Your Place | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ruthless S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Imperial | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enliven | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dovey Lovey | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ujjayi | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Takecharge Mirella | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Diva | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Black Belt | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Pinky | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abraxan | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delta Gamma | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Lovely Day | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gattino Marrone | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alvernia | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sander’s Empire | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Blindness | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sandra’s Mine | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.