January 26, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Absolut Neworleans | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 15 | Handsome Harve | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Mr Haney | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 3 | Go for Moonshine | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | Nobutzaboutit | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vinyl | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arch of Ages | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Flat Out Love | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fortythreeoeight N | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Murry Spur | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dr. Baskin | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Harkins Hall | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Liam Skye | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | One Hitter | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jonamin | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jockamo’s Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Charge the Line | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | State Treasurer | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Masterly | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queeten | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Outofthisgalaxy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Greeley Went West | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scarlettsblackjack | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Aquadini | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Firewater Jake | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crafty Daddy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field Patrol | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Federal Dominance | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jazzy Justin | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin High | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Logical Myth | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merlin’s Song | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Creek | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foggy Albion | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fever Temple | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Myunbridledcoyote | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kaylie’s Boots | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Maid of Iron | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Storm Stride | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neva’s Gal | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caliente Candy | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Breezing Bye | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mustard | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hatchet Lady | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hard Trier | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Squatchingwithlyss | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zapperini | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fast and Accurate | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Memory Bank | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High Noon Rider | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Right | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Twenty Four Seven | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honovi | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ezmosh | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | December Seven | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stargirl | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoptown Honey | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Livi | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touch of Gray | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Love to Race | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Orbit | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Diva’s Ransom | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cats Beauty | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sammie’s Touch | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Band | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annie Had a Baby | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salute My Lady | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Cruising | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Titanium Girl | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bizzarrini | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Booneville Chapel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Estrela Cadente | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Ye Go Lassie | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glance | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skip and a Hop | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Curlin | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starfish Point | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backstage Star | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paper Doll | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Khaleesi’s Gift | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Performer | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Madalyna | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hannah Banana | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Casual Cool | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.