January 25, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
7 |
Pocket Personality |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1A |
8 |
Long Gray Line |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Run Tappy |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Jail House |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Macha’s Reward |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
10 |
Golden Bullet |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Flight Risk |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
On Patrol |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
9 |
Derecho Warrior |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Intimidating |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Officer Sid |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Vans Flying Cowboy |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Tapit Star |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Drexel |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Young Bull |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leo Del Reo |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crow Mountain |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Souixper Charger |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Babadoook |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blanco Bronco |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gone Dancing |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fire To |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Risky Boy |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Traffic Control |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dan the Go to Man |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bow and Arrow |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Davka |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer Disco |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ceeky |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Istillgotit |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rolin With Olin |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chip Van Winkle |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drinkwiththeirish |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Candyrock |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bajan Cash |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Helena |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
She’s a Truckin |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tale of La Comete |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shaharazad |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
What a Fox |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gun Club |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adari |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Gisel |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Letters to Belle |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Electress |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Plumbago |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Pat Daddy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Rockport Kat |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Go Vo |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
One Son of a Chief |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Proven Warrior |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Archie |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Justice for Themob |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Reflector |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gotta Curlin |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
13 |
12 |
Flashy Indian |
5.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Purely Given |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
10 |
9 |
Outrun the Posse |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
12 |
11 |
Tiz Showbiz |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Soulcometown |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Irish Mischief |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Lovely Flash |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ultimate Mo |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Palace Princess |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Motion Emotion |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
More Moet Pleez |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sky Freak |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Takechargmatriarch |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Goodbye Earl |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
7 |
Drop Dead Gorgeous |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
3 |
Miss Perfecta |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Furiously Fast |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Flashy Doll |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Kada |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
4 |
Peruvian Appeal |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
3 |
Raintree Starlet |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Irish Marvel |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
8 |
Istan Council |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
5 |
Miss Ximena |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
6 |
Talbeya |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
7 |
Beautiful Tale |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
12 |
9 |
Mucha Mezquina |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Smarty Jones S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Jack Van Berg |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Long Range Toddy |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Super Steed |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gray Attempt |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bankit |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Six Shooter |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sleepy Eyes Todd |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Boldor |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Forloveofcountry |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Proud Nation |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
6 |
Stolen Thunder |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1A |
12 |
Stock Chain |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Laughing Fox |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Passion Play |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Brush Country |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
10 |
Rising Star |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
Ronamo |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
1 |
Gigging |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
5 |
Split the Wickets |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
4 |
Lifesbeengoodsofar |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
8 |
7 |
Georgia Deputy |
30.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
12 |
11 |
Tut’s Revenge |
15.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.