January 23, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Oklahoma Lizzie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Derwin’s Miner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Be the Light | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | On a Heater | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beaubouef | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Keep the Commish | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Boss Jack | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Herbie | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gato Caliente | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Slew | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunday’s Mistake | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heisayankee | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Finishlikeapro | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dr. Zipcity | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watch My Smoke | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ide Be Doc Adams | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | U S Officer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A We Bit Flirty | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scrutiny | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Nasty Time | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Runpeggyrun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Mallory’s On | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Speedpoint | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Argument Won | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Supersport Sally | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ladygogently | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clever More | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobbies Reason | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Zarby | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | G G Has a Shot | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Intimidator | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mars Curiosity | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Wild Dancer | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Beat | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | River Bobcat | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Picadilly Roadster | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stage Show | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Darylslittleengine | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Ransom | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tonto M | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rebel Gentleman | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Lydgate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Potomac River | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sindys Luck | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Primary Patrick | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pressing Luck | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My New Guiter | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howe Amazing | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crush | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Jay Gee | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Changewilldoyagood | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | G. A. Betting | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Do Guess Again | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gladee’s Gray Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Raising the Ante | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Scat At Ms. Pat’s | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Net a Bear | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Attitude Ajustment | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Song for Sarah | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cohenscollegefund | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Clutchin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mamma Says | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Angel d’Oro | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Wekati | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mila’s Gold | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waitin On the Gold | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carencro Special | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blessed Bloom | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Ava Claire | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Word of the Day | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Desert Madam | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Socks | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Yes Gorgeous | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Arch Arch Baby | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | She’sagraciouslady | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alpha Sue | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sashimi Blaster | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sister Ashlee | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Moronette | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tapindeed | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breeze of Cinnamon | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ole Black Magic | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rockin’rouxs Best | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anita Bonita | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Ruston | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heaven’s Devil | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Doc’s Gold | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Crafty Ike | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Our Prince | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kat’s Pop | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Such | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Song and a G | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dave At the Helm | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bet Again | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Avaskentuckydream | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat On the Roof | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Crush | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Famous Pen Pal | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.