January 20, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kazan (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morse Code | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pincheck (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Count Alexander | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Choo Choo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Move Over (GB) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Billy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Juice | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victor’s Show | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pastorelli | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pig Iron | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Badge | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Casual Reply | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy the Bull | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kawara (BRZ) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lindante | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Arch | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Monterey Shale | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shirl’s Ready | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Captain N. Barron | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emotional Ride | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bless His Heart | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bartlett Hall | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Centaurus Rule | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doheny Beach | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raggy Rocks | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scorpio | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Three Quarter Time | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Blue Moonrise | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flor de La Mar | 0.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chocolate Speights | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Live the Moment | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run’n Down a Dream | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flat Out Joy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Courier | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Railman | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | You Must Chill | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Violent Behavior | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thin Line | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Red Clem | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Loyalty Rewarded | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shared | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lil Sydney | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trial by Fire | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lake Show | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shake N Fries | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Alarm | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redrock Trail | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tanker | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Aspirations | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Contagion | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Salute to Lt Dan | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warrensdirtydancer | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Small Town Boy | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friday’s At Shady | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Astra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cheekaboo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | India Mantuana | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | K P Pergoliscious (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Plein Air (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Amboseli | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lynne’s Legacy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trust Fund Kitty | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Copper Fever | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | K P’s Smokin | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’teatmycookies | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Val | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | London Hotel | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Pajarito | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Authority | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Mi Haina | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blissful Lady | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Sophie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fiery Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Helen’s Tiger | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Batiquitos | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Special Purpose (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Oleksandra (AUS) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spy Ring (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Drift Away | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | We All Have Dreams | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gleefuly | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Happiness | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.