January 20, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Romeo | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Midnight Entree | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lone Pioneer | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mid Day Image | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brazen Prince | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Bridgetothefuture | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bumperdoo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Tio Blas | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | American Wish | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Enuff | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Discreet | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archumybaby | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | That’s Smart | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Jem | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peaches and Spice | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mazmania | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | D’s Sis | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bel Cuore | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fournineteen | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Brown Cat | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stirred Not Shakin | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Banker | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gemini Witch | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | T J’s Rose Ella | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boosted Ego | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | California Night | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wushu Warrior | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bootlegger (FR) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mad Munnys | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devine Entry | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Judge Stanton | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Big Lebanese | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pier Forty | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Jim | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | London House | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Fellow | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ventus | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bebe Banker | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ticked All Daboxes | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Style | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Waving Flags | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Mrs. Crews | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ma Meatloaf | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Infatuation | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mimic | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wild Type | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jazzy J | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ladies H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forever Liesl | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crimson Frost | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sara Street | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Total Control | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enthrall | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matty’s Magnum | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sexy Reasons (ARG) | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mats Checkride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Midnitesalright | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caralicious | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Annette’s Humor | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Evan’s Nice Now | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joansburntbiscuit | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Took a Shot | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minit Maus | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toddle House | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.