January 19, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Bonnie | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enjoyitwhilewecan | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fangirl | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Up At Dawn | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stokes | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gracetown | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Win the Shake | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Admiral Blue | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incubator | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimateenticement | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take It to Scale | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Lane | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Overnegotiate | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clairvoyant Lady | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madame Barbarian | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annie Rocks | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aikenetta | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not About the Nail | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rockin Emmzy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dizzy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Redouble | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Smart | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whyisshesoolucky | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Controllingthegold | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Her Way | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Figure It Out | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Toboggan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gold for the King | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Sharp | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solid Wager | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bal Harbour | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caoimhe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Twofer | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Loyalty | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Ending | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mercurian | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moment of Triumph | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Nanny | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Mikayah | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Have Another | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy D T | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarf It Down | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Freedoms | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Action | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Zealous | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Felix in Fabula | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Cause I’m Alex | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Peter’s Project | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Calculated Risker | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fox Rules | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Local Counsel | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Broadway Bay | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Here Comes Tommy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | River Knight | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Proud Zip | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Borsa Vento | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | H Man | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Avast Matey | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shamcat | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Too Fast to Pass | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Samadi Sky | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Week | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kenyan | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.