January 17, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chill | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captivate | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Concur | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shane Zain | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Uncle Rick | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Boy Leroy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scattering Mink | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Arrow | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ria Munk | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rancor | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Sunset | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silent Alarm | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redrock Trail | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shake N Fries | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Contagion | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Friday’s At Shady | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Salute to Lt Dan | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrensdirtydancer | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tanker | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Small Town Boy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D D’s Lute | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amers | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Trouble Maker | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easter Dream | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empress of Lov | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naughty Sophie | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Don’teatmycookies | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Pajarito | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | London Hotel | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Mi Haina | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Authority | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K P’s Smokin | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Val | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blissful Lady | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rather Nosy | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reachreachreach | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodtingscominpink | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Image | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lady Ann | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Dime for Me | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curryforthree Bang | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Your Royal Coil | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrensrollingdice | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glitter Gulch | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Unusual | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hotitude | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Master | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Tea All Shade | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Suzzie | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Bay | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bless His Heart | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Billy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pastorelli | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Badge | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Juice | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Victor’s Show | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Casual Reply | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pig Iron | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy the Bull | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.