January 16, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Promissory Note | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Rockin’rouxs Best | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | Indian Gem | 1.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miracles Yankee | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Party Tarde | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fiji D | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Juno’s Starlet | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grand Tuner | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toga’s Margrock | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Delta Eighty Eight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kye’s Addycat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Indulgences | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Man Behind the Bar | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Sniper | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Racer | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Image | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Genuide | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Bandit | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sarvelio | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Tiz | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Highroller Man | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blaising Guitar | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Flash of Copper | 1.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinlee’s Song | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Run | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Remember Me Pop | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jack’s Got Game | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Callmechamp | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Count N Gold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Etbauer’s Ide | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Expectations | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ride a Saint | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Colonial Power | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Gibbs | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cayenne | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Artist by the Sea | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gary | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mack’s Champ | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Commission | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Burning Runner | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fort Polk | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crescentcitypretty | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Big Ting | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flash Hands | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madam Lindalou | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia O Maya | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crispy Creed | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Front Money Morgan | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Fine Pinot | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Muscadine Wine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Lucky Taylor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Glorious Day | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Pretty Face | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hiclass Production | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Lady Belacqua | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Space Cowgirl | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Laine’s Song | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Ricky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brutus Hughes | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walking in Faith | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzdelight | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fiddlers Farewell | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Song N a Cat | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Philly | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roundabout Robbie | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Four Princesses | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paddy O | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flash N Go | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Five Star Factor | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Creed | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shes a Texan | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zarelda | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Honduras | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Quiet Concert | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Hunter’s Humor | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Greeley’s Dealer | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Yeowzer | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | So Sorry Ruston | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Divine Holiday | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cap Rock Miner | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macandales | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Andy’s Legacy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mister Ander | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cape Lucas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Slewfoot Gulch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dyna Ghost | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Asap | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pointman | 1.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Private Reality | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Toga | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Drewmatic | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | All Bay | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | They’ll Seeintime | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.