January 13, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Mandate | 0.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jake Rocks | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grumps Little Tots | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loverboy Lou | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deft | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stan the Man | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weather Wiz | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Quality | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tusk | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dothat Dance | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coltandmississippi | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharpe and Ready | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ark in the Dark | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shamrock Kid | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shortlist | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnetron | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our American Star | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wisecrack | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forecaster | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rouxhere | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missionatthespa | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortune’s Boy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Center City | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Saw It All | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Axel | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Unsullied | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leap to Glory | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Massena | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All Clear | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Lights | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hopper Dropper | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Twenty Nine | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mickey T | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imvros Pride | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Erlich | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Curfew | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kumar | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Binary | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mental Model | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pickle Rick | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Habitue | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coast to Coast | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rego Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bustin to Be Loved | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Strive for a Cure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blindwillie McTell | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thorny Tale | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Just Right | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kazmania | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kadens Courage | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bydawnsearlylight | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funny Guy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiergan | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Show Prince | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mister Humor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | La Cat Warrior | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thefinalcrazydude | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Infield Is In | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | There Goes Jose | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wheresthebarber | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Latin Love Bug | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bigsouljoel | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buss the Bell | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Can Go | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.