January 12, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Holy Mosey |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Swirling |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
The Craic |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Easy Grader |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Happiness |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Lightning Dove |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Tizanillusion |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Time for Ebby |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Operandi |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Macwinnon |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Savagery |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Synthesis |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Spin Lightning |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Stay in Yo Lane |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Vander Kelen |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Union Leader |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rak City |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grazeninamerica |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sterling’s Temple |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Irish Ballad |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Why Not Us |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jonas |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sapori Girl |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Hollywood Girl |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Shes All Woman |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Nomizar |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Marine Layer |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Emrata |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Samandah |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Full Eclipse |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Banze No Oeste (BRZ) |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Go Ghetto |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pioneerof the West |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Carville |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lindante |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Midnight Soot |
5.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Holland Road |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crystal Dome (GB) |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Las Cienegas S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Selcourt |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Last Promise Kept |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Miss Southern Miss |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Tesora |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Fiery Lady |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
Belvoir Bay (GB) |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
4 |
Painting Corners |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Compelled |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
3 |
Lady Suebee |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Impetu |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Honeymoonz Over |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Warrior’s Lullaby |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Isee It in Hiseyes |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rebel War |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
From the Distance |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
For the Hustle |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Curly’s Mark |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Schulace |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Patrick |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lucky Pegasus |
50.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Canada S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Exuberance |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Escape Clause |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
True Royalty |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
K P Wildcat |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Stradella Road |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lemoona |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Bernina Star |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lauren’s Ladd |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Placido |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Hard Arch |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Theycallhimthekid |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Silver Summer |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Cool Green |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
R Cha Cha |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Tough But Nice |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
8 |
Incensed |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
7 |
Baby Bear’s Soup |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Storminside |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
New Karma |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
6 |
Elwood J |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.