Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 12, 2019

January 12, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Holy Mosey 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Swirling 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 The Craic 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Easy Grader 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Happiness 15.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Lightning Dove 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Tizanillusion 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 1 Time for Ebby 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Operandi 5.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Macwinnon 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Savagery 1.60 1.9 4-1
4 3 Synthesis 2.00 3 6-1
3 2 Spin Lightning 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Stay in Yo Lane 12.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vander Kelen 2.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Union Leader 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Rak City 8.00 4 7-1
7 7 Grazeninamerica 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sterling’s Temple 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Irish Ballad 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Why Not Us 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Jonas 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sapori Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hollywood Girl 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shes All Woman 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Nomizar 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Marine Layer 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 2 Emrata 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Samandah 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Full Eclipse 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Banze No Oeste (BRZ) 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Go Ghetto 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Pioneerof the West 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Carville 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lindante 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Midnight Soot 5.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Holland Road 5.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Crystal Dome (GB) 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Las Cienegas S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Selcourt 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Last Promise Kept 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Southern Miss 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tesora 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fiery Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Belvoir Bay (GB) 2.50 2.1 4-1
9 4 Painting Corners 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Compelled 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 3 Lady Suebee 6.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Impetu 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Honeymoonz Over 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Warrior’s Lullaby 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Isee It in Hiseyes 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Rebel War 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 From the Distance 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 For the Hustle 6.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Curly’s Mark 8.00 7 13-1
10 10 Schulace 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Lucky Patrick 30.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Lucky Pegasus 50.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Canada S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Exuberance 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Escape Clause 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 3 True Royalty 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 K P Wildcat 4.00 4 7-1
2 1 Stradella Road 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Lemoona 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Bernina Star 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lauren’s Ladd 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Placido 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hard Arch 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Theycallhimthekid 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Silver Summer 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cool Green 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 5 R Cha Cha 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Tough But Nice 6.00 3.5 7-1
11 8 Incensed 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 7 Baby Bear’s Soup 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Storminside 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 New Karma 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 6 Elwood J 20.00 6.6 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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