January 12, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runabout | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chinquapin | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Third Son | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Express | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lay It On | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Offshore Trip | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swingstage | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sophie N | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Gateau St Honore | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vinaigrette | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kitten’s Friend | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Justanarch | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malabar | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hayley Agnes | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Merry Maid | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dangerus Talent | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – What A Summer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Limited View | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She’s Stunning | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Late Night Pow Wow | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Behrnik’s Bank | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Devine Mischief | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Moonlit Song | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gran Cherry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Robin’s Destiny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Won | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barley Jack | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Margie’s Money | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Echo | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Shot | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Clairvoyant Lady | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Off My Stage | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Native Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stan the Man | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Rich Daddy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonus Points | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General Downs | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tour de Force | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Jack | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Marengo Road | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Call Kenny | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tradfest | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | White Bluff | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Chief of Staff | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mandel | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Big Bella Brown | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tricky Lion | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sir Orinoco | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Brimstone | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dr Bolt | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | R Hot Twenty’s | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fire Plug S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Do Share | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cautious Giant | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sheikh of Sheikhs | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Measured | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Home Run Maker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shane’s Jewel | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Nellie Morse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blue Union Rags | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Face It | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Enthrall | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Timeless Curls | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mzima Springs | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mo Knows | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kosher Kontract | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Stones | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Run | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baravelli | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucacito | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kustaafu | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Heir | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Row the Boat | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Glominator | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disputed Notion | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.