January 12, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Social Roy 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Be a Hero 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Dash of Dazzle 3.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Northern 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Pachanga Party 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Our Sarge 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Express Jet 30.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Game Day Drama 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Forest Gator 30.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Forty Fathoms 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Our Closure 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Windjammer (GER) 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Necessary 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Port Salerno 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Play That Tone 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Helen Hayes 6.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Dixie Princess 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Paddys Class 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Reiltin Oir 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Calais Cove 20.00 8.7 17-1
5 5 Trilby 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Firm 1.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Oh Danny Bear 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Watch Your Step 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Wink and a Nod 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Perfect Beam 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Gem Juan 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 All Star Seiler 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Scoobydoopapa 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Bellamy Street 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Singanothersong 1.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Call Wil 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Go Gone Gone 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Moonwalker 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Black Jet 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Kantharos’ Image 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Hardened 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Versed 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Jersey Joe B 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Henny Hefner 30.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 City Roc 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Awesome Hills 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Bobby Lee 1.40 3.3 6-1
2 2 Wicked Mandate 4.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Valerie First 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Si Te Vas 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Best Trebol (DOM) 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 She’s Unbridled 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Me Gusta Papi 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trev 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Trio of Champions 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Over Sensual 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Amanecer 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Coop Tries Harder 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Scotuscare 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Silent Tiger 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 The Chamo 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Cowboy Bob 15.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 High Road 2.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Lavish 1.80 2.9 6-1
1 1 Saint Moon 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Eye’s Reward 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Seranitsa 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Toscana 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 She’s a Problem 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lady Kate 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Sanaable 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Sister Gema 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Chasing Helicity 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Uncommon Factor 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Magic River 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Fantastic Kingdom 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hidden Facts 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Amandrea 5.00 2.9 5-1
12 12 Avocado 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Madding Crowd 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Beautiful Lover 6.00 6 11-1
9 9 Shacklette 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Connectivity 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Fuji 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Can’t Buy Me Love 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Nonsensical 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 She’s an Introvert 30.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Spac 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tropical Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Conquest Big E 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Heart to Heart 0.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 Vici 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 White Flag 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Doctor Mounty 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Holiday Stone 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Mr Freeze 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Your Only Man 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Geoscience 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Brightworthy 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Camgo 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 High Crime 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Brainstorm 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 5 Golden Idol 10.00 4.5 9-1
11 9 Noon Time Gem 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 No Rules 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 Brud 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Deuces Are Wild 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 8 Ry’s the Guy 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Marshua’s River S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 La Signare (FR) 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Bellavais 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 I’m Betty G 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Valedictorian 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Monte Crista 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Rose Tree 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bombshell 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Hogans Holiday 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Blue Collar 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 War Cabinet 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Nantucket Red 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Sweet Sting 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Lucky Long 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Cured by Kitten 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Indygita 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Tropical Wave 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Regal Dame 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Come on City (GER) 10.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.