January 12, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kubo Cat 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Yakadaddy 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Take Charge Chase 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Step to the Bar 4.00 4 7-1
7 7 He’s No Bully 4.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Charlie Gulch 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Don Guillermo 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Andy Jones 8.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Delusional K K 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tensas Thought 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Acadian Driftwood 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Shakopee Town 1.20 3.4 6-1
4 4 Champagne Moment 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Jo Jo’s Wine 6.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 13 Turner Time 8.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Sea Vow 6.00 SCRATCH
10 11 The Bull (AUS) 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 No Richie 8.00 SCRATCH
13 14 Jackie Blu 20.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Riv 1.40 2.5 5-1
1A 8 Irish Proud 1.40 2.7 5-1
4 2 Anytime Anyplace 2.00 4 8-1
5 3 Just Blaze 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Bar Ryder 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 5 T’ Cadeau 12.00 6 11-1
3 1 What a Image 30.00 6.4 12-1
6 4 He’s Dann Good 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Showcase Mall 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Half Waypoint 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Peace Treaty Pat 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Elegant Elle 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Glorieta 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lookin Back At It 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Aunt Bae Bae 4.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Tiz Darby 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 El Corredor Rose 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Cajun Music 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Wilderness Gate 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Watch Out Justin 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Raven’s Rabbit (IRE) 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Milk Chocolate 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Hoptown Honey 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Cube 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Hawkins Lane 30.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Two Mile Creek 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Commanding Candy 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 English Ransom 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Civil 12.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Overanalyzfakenews 8.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Sladens Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Making a Marc 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 1 Rubus 3.00 2.6 5-1
1A 6 Boyfriend Material 3.50 3 6-1
3 2 Awesome Fu 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Wild About Candy 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 8 Hunker Down 4.50 5.8 11-1
5 4 Dig Charlie Dig 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 7 Mine My Time 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Its a Journey 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tell Your Mama 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Coachwhip 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Don’t Tell Marge 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lounge Act 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Superduper Sky 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 More Fun Again 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 May Lily 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Love On Tides 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Diamondcoat 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Roussalka 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Queen of Connaught (GB) 12.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Gris Gris 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Exemplar 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Casses Story 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Higher Power 3.00 3 6-1
4 3 Secret House 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Heavy Roller 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Mighty Manfred 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Bemma’s Boy 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Frolic More 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Swordsman 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Landofthepharaohs 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Ian Glass 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Cardinal Coach Mac 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Homefortheweekend 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Ready to Forgive 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Johny’s Bobby 6.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Spectacular Gem 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Big Bobby Brown 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Cabo’s Rumor 20.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Albany Fleet 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ty C 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Grand Argument 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Mikey’s Mouse 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Beauty Boy 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Miss You Jo 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Jonamin 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Red Roux 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Last Flash 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 From Now On 10.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 I Don’t Fly Coach 20.00 8.7 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.