January 12, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Classic Heath |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Yohearme |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Adrenaline |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
G Cisive |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pat Me Down |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
B Rasen |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dave At the Helm |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brazoswildcat |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Southern Prince |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Too Tuff to Cry |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Yankee Trip |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shot On Windy Hill |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Honest Scarlet |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Yella Wally Gator |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Heaven’s Creation |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Regal Heiress |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stumberg |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Shot |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pretty Production |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Friendly and Kind |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
D’or Fille |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Launchabind |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Striscetta |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Show’em the Heat |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Uncomplicated |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Dark Spirit |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Accustomed to Hope |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Half Heroine |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Los Suenos |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Mintappearence |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Miss Mabelee |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Wildly Grand |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Runpeggyrun |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Binds Fair Lass |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
In Full Swing |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Queezee Proud |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Sizzle Factor |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Facets of Ice |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alina’s Image |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rilla |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Go Selma T |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Copper Lady |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
La Reina Isabel |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jaded Rose |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
10 |
Thegoodwitch |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Favorite Promise |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Boggidyboggidy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Zarla |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Kiwi Cat |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Anita Bonita |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Redtotherescue |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Bubbas Lucky Spell |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s a Queen |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Fine N On Time |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Custom for Corales |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
Tiz the Time |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Take Charge Easy |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Mr Cruze |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Benny Colors |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unbraided |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Black Justice |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Andy’s Production |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
R New Star |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yankee Express |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cajun Dude |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Silver Zephyr |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Run Peck Run |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Confederate Yell |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Quiet Dude |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Alexander |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Azaruk |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Jersey Bullet |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Successful Ryker |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Medieval Medicine |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Soldiers Letter |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
McKlintok |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honest Bond |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Atdabarwithmerrill |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Robert’s Prince |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
It’s Mike’s Turn |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Whatdatpay Ray |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
D’money Honey |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Wise Cat |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aztec Delite |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sharp Machete |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pierpont |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Future Ruler |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rebel Gentleman |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
County Coroner |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dewey’s Bull |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wicked Proud |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Wildnd’moonlight |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Avery Lynn |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seattle Firm |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Skipadee Due Da |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Wait N C Spring |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Seveneightnine |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Purely Blessed |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Greeley’s Doll |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ringneckdove |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Abama Light |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Callmechamp |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Bullet the New Sky |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Run Trickey Run |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Look Happy |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sharp Alex |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Big Cane |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bold Bulldog |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Captain’s Song |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Walter John |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jazzy Punch |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carterjameslove |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mickey’s Halo |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.