Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 12, 2019

January 12, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Classic Heath 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Yohearme 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Adrenaline 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 G Cisive 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Pat Me Down 2.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 B Rasen 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Dave At the Helm 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Brazoswildcat 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Southern Prince 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Too Tuff to Cry 30.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Yankee Trip 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Shot On Windy Hill 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Honest Scarlet 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Yella Wally Gator 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Heaven’s Creation 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Regal Heiress 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Stumberg 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Sweet Shot 6.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Pretty Production 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Friendly and Kind 30.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 D’or Fille 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Launchabind 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Striscetta 30.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Show’em the Heat 8.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Uncomplicated 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dark Spirit 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Accustomed to Hope 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Half Heroine 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Los Suenos 4.50 4.8 9-1
10 9 Mintappearence 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Miss Mabelee 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Wildly Grand 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 Runpeggyrun 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Binds Fair Lass 12.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 In Full Swing 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Queezee Proud 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sizzle Factor 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Facets of Ice 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Alina’s Image 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Rilla 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Go Selma T 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Copper Lady 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 La Reina Isabel 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Jaded Rose 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Thegoodwitch 8.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Favorite Promise 30.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Boggidyboggidy 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Zarla 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Kiwi Cat 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Anita Bonita 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Redtotherescue 8.00 4 7-1
8 7 Bubbas Lucky Spell 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 She’s a Queen 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Fine N On Time 20.00 6 11-1
10 9 Custom for Corales 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 8 Tiz the Time 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Take Charge Easy 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Mr Cruze 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Benny Colors 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Unbraided 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Black Justice 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Andy’s Production 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 R New Star 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Yankee Express 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Cajun Dude 6.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Silver Zephyr 12.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Run Peck Run 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Confederate Yell 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Quiet Dude 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Alexander 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Azaruk 6.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 Jersey Bullet 2.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Successful Ryker 4.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Medieval Medicine 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Soldiers Letter 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 McKlintok 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Honest Bond 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Atdabarwithmerrill 20.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Robert’s Prince 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 It’s Mike’s Turn 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Whatdatpay Ray 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 D’money Honey 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 My Wise Cat 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Aztec Delite 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sharp Machete 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Pierpont 5.00 5 10-1
2 2 Future Ruler 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Rebel Gentleman 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 County Coroner 30.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Dewey’s Bull 10.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Wicked Proud 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wildnd’moonlight 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Avery Lynn 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Seattle Firm 8.00 4 8-1
8 7 Skipadee Due Da 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Wait N C Spring 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Seveneightnine 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 Purely Blessed 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Greeley’s Doll 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Ringneckdove 15.00 6 11-1
10 9 Abama Light 30.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Callmechamp 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bullet the New Sky 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Run Trickey Run 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Look Happy 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Sharp Alex 3.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Big Cane 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bold Bulldog 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Captain’s Song 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Walter John 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Jazzy Punch 30.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Carterjameslove 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Mickey’s Halo 15.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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