January 12, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Irish Banker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Vinda Machine | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ladyberg | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy Mama | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Flair | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weekend Forecast | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Funky | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Bella Chica | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Overnegotiate | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moondance Joy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy Belle | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Archumybaby | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milaya | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreams Are Pazible | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woundwithhereyes | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fox Red | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Missle Bomb | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Threes Over Deuces | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | American Power | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dark N Cloudy | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tap Master | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Charming Cara | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Midnitesalright | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heartbustingirl | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rattle the Stars | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Margie Cat | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Smile | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrens Vengeance | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I Took a Shot | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tousled | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Javelin | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proximate to Power | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Story | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flatexcel | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimateenticement | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southeast | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Espresso Caliente | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Too Fast to Pass | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spartiatis | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Big Or Go Home | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Toohottoevenspeak | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regalian | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Command | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Francis Freud | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quai Voltaire | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | In a Fog | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Not | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | House Limit | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Allured | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Uncle Sigh | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yamano Maker (JPN) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stoney Bennett | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Westerdale | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vincento | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Felix in Fabula | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Say Florida Sandy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Express | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gold for the King | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Honor Up | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Celtic Chaos | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Asset | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Winston’s Chance | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Syndergaard | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Morning Breez | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jewel Can Disco | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Cross Multiply | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Theresa’s Boy | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holycowits Patrick | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cool Crinoline | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Martini Lane | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Jayvien | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shook Em Up | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kavansberg | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Skies Forever | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soup Baby | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.