Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 11, 2019

January 11, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 D’wildsummersfun 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dewey’s Sunshine 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 First to Score 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 My Golden Tale 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Kenai Star 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Clancy’s Pepper 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Navy Typist 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Will Burn Tails 30.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Hardly Seen Slim 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Huffs Untouchable 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Ellerbe 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Two Mikes N Doc G 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady Diamondback 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ta 1.60 2.2 4-1
8 7 Evil Genius 3.50 4 8-1
6 5 No No No 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 3 Moonlight Michelle 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Ima Discreet Lady 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 All About Clara 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Flat Out Flirty 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Make Me Smile 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cool Individual 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Otto Parts 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 See Carlos Run 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Purim King 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Our Bucket List 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Fire Makers Star 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Nomorequestions 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Pre Heat 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 8 Meditate 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Flashing Angelbaby 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gold Chrome 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hannah Bo Baby 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Asdrubal 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 2 Chloe Raven 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 4 Our Golden Girl 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 5 Old Fashion Amour 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Jonesboro Polly 15.00 5 9-1
8 6 Own the Night 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Leavethetip 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Si Familia 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Kiss Him Twice 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Beat Goes On 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Chief Knockaway 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Charlie Ballado 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tap That Word 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mr. Bandini’s Band 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Five Small 30.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Passing Simon 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Afoolsbrokenheart 1.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Careless Whisper 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Annie Had a Baby 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 White Oak Swamp 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Miss Moronette 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Emma’s Gift 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Indygo Rocket 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Castalia Bella 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kapenta 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Ide Be Doc Adams 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Turn Up the Lights 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Flashy Em 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Cuco Trejo 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Shaboxxo 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Judge Dixon 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Scrutiny 15.00 7.1 14-1
9 9 J P of Galilee 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 North Light Ridge 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Intensified 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 D’wild Muffin 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fender Baby 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Gg’s Gracefulgabby 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Glitz N Glam 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Elusive Pal 4.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Sharp Henny 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Sixteen Punches 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Social Icon 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Our Diamond 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Vinton’s Vin Geaux 6.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Green Lakes 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 C C Harris 1.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Smooth Colliery 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Noah Knows 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Smooth Man 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Vivinsky 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sholtz 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Drakkar 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Thisaintnoalleycat 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Kohensrising 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Honey Hearts 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sweet Rosebud 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Clever Miss 10.00 5 9-1
10 10 Seeking Sully 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Brodys Lil Lady 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Wish for Interest 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Running Unbridled 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Delightful Soul 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Money Sunk 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Sarah’s Valley 20.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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