January 11, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
D’wildsummersfun |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Dewey’s Sunshine |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
First to Score |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Golden Tale |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kenai Star |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clancy’s Pepper |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Navy Typist |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Will Burn Tails |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hardly Seen Slim |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Huffs Untouchable |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ellerbe |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Two Mikes N Doc G |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lady Diamondback |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Ta |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Evil Genius |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
No No No |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Moonlight Michelle |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ima Discreet Lady |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
All About Clara |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Flat Out Flirty |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Make Me Smile |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Cool Individual |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Otto Parts |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
See Carlos Run |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Purim King |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Bucket List |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Fire Makers Star |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nomorequestions |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pre Heat |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
8 |
Meditate |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flashing Angelbaby |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gold Chrome |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Hannah Bo Baby |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Asdrubal |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Chloe Raven |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
Our Golden Girl |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Old Fashion Amour |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
3 |
Jonesboro Polly |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
Own the Night |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Leavethetip |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Si Familia |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Kiss Him Twice |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Beat Goes On |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Chief Knockaway |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Charlie Ballado |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tap That Word |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Bandini’s Band |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Five Small |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Passing Simon |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Afoolsbrokenheart |
1.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Careless Whisper |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Annie Had a Baby |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
White Oak Swamp |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Moronette |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Emma’s Gift |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Indygo Rocket |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Castalia Bella |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kapenta |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ide Be Doc Adams |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Turn Up the Lights |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flashy Em |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cuco Trejo |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shaboxxo |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Judge Dixon |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scrutiny |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
J P of Galilee |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
North Light Ridge |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Intensified |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
D’wild Muffin |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Fender Baby |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gg’s Gracefulgabby |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Glitz N Glam |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Elusive Pal |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sharp Henny |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sixteen Punches |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Social Icon |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Our Diamond |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Vinton’s Vin Geaux |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Green Lakes |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
C C Harris |
1.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smooth Colliery |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Noah Knows |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smooth Man |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vivinsky |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sholtz |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Drakkar |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Thisaintnoalleycat |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Kohensrising |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Honey Hearts |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Rosebud |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clever Miss |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Seeking Sully |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brodys Lil Lady |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wish for Interest |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Running Unbridled |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Delightful Soul |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Money Sunk |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sarah’s Valley |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.