January 11, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kingdom’s Queen | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Hester | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War of the States | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Communal | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taking Aim | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Purchasing Power | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Change of Venue | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cookie Crisp | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s New Moon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inalienable Rights | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Before | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Harley Q | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | September Gurl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Flush | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Awillaway | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | True Prosperity | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wall Street Annie | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tripp Road | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Alvernia | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Teufles and Roses | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mia Bella Rossa | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Harkness | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stay Fond | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daria’s Angel | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not About the Nail | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ipanema Beach | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moon Heist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lady Macho | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Countable | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cheatham Hill | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Wadadli Princess | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Anydayisherday | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sander’s Empire | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Centrall | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Francis Freud | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Bavaro | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gypsum Johnny | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rectify | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sol the Freud | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Proletariat | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Pigeon | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | H Man | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Haudenosaunee | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hokulea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Escape | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie McCoy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quest for Fire | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dark Ops | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Ghost | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ro Bear | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three to Thirteen | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vicar’s Legend | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swivel | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mystical Song | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ma Mo | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Missbigtimes | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highleelikelee | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fiveinthemorning | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wanna Be Regal | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benina | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My First Gal | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Alana | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Ziggy Is Zubby | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lia Shivani | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Irish Glitter | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Roses From Ben | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.