January 10, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Foreign Connection 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Say Yes Again 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 D’wildcat Indian 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Gio Angel 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Marcia Rose 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Just Willow 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Adieu Mallory 12.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 11 Carolina Jasmine 4.00 SCRATCH
1 10 Lu Sea 4.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Previous Honor 3.00 3 6-1
2 1 Sandstorm 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Tough Kicks 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Back Page Star 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Blingonthwing 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Dancing Waves (IRE) 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Half a Million 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Little Snip 8.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Dr Liz 8.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blue Wings 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Citali 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Paddy’s Notes 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Flatter the Queen 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Wildwood Dejavu 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Swamp Ruler 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Chatainbegood 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Outback Jack 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nuggetsofknowledge 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Atlantic Ruler 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Musical Man 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 History Earned 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Shanghai Story 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Cajun Pinata 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Changi 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Striking Star 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Day Dreamer 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Go for Moonshine 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Dreamer’s Point 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Kitten Street 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Guitar King 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Foldover 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Bye Bye Shanghai 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Tornado Man 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Liam Skye 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tommy C Me 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Wings Up 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Warriors Gem 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Afleet Roger 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Jerrys Pridenjoy 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hidden Data 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Woman With a Book 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Just in Tee 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Jackie Blu 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Battle Colors 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 B B Special 8.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Uncle Youdge 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Rock N Sake 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Voodoo Spell 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Shangroyal 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Halfflatt 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mula Mano 15.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 Whiskey Bravo 5.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Carson Kan 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Aubenas (FR) 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 Domikate 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Greeley’s Wish 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Wonder Run 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Autumn Warrior 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 My Friend Flavin 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 O’L Red 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Outofthisgalaxy 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Jack Snipe’s 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Secret House 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tuff Kid 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Archanova 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Vigilante 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Senor Blanco 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chip Leader 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Italian Charm 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Son of a Saint 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Western Reserve 10.00 5 10-1
9 8 Turbo Street (AUS) 5.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Dontblamerocket 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Monster Bea 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Potomac River 12.00 6.9 13-1
12 10 St. Louie 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 4 California Swing 12.00 7.6 14-1
13 11 Peej 10.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr. Nine Five Four 30.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Handiwork 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Jericho 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Point Hope 2.50 4.7 9-1
2 1 Cameron Rules 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Senator Robert 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Bank On Andy (FR) 4.50 5.2 10-1
3 2 Santa Americana 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Curzon Street 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Express Lane 12.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.