January 10, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Doc’s Denita |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Chiles Legacy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Kris Stormin Free |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Given Grace |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Splashdown |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kinky Kim |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wapi |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Supersport Sally |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Mallory’s On |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dance for Joy |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
See What’s What |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Island Blue |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Malila |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Elegant Idea |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Our Millie |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Untethered Soul |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ide Stang You |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Toomuch |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Glossy |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hot Yankee |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Doc’s Rocket |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Giant Collin |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Last Destiny |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Samurai’s Prize |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Swift Lisa |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Christeana’s Kiss |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Toga Dance |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Racin Christina |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gabriela’s Tears |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Somethingroyal P |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Safe Keeping |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Witty Cry |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Rossmoor Way |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Watch My Steam |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Call |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rosecoloredglasses |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gentlemen’s Girl |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gettothepoint |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mamadancesinthesky |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’m a Great Rebel |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Pal Em |
5.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Silver |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Baby B Gone |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Chief Knockaway |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Steppin’ Outonher |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
He’s a Lady Tamer |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
K One Kobra |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Fancy This |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gray Ransom |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jake Jourdan |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fast Time Streaker |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Arkansas Martini |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Montbrooks Miracle |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
A Band Apart |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
11 |
10 |
Big Maurice |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Claire’s Flair |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Moro Dreams |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Fetchum Ketchum |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mine Boss |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Destinedtobeastar |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
All Bizness |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Such |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
7 |
Horsefeathers |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
6 |
Drewzano |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Goodnight Song |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Rina Good |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Machi |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Kelley’s Dream |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Star of Kobol |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Jewels of Sorce |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
8 |
Hunky Dory |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
5 |
Theboyzblues |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blue Ribbon Girl |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
3 |
Val’s Pal |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Cookin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Maline |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kodiak Sky |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thegrayspider |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Our Easter Lily |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
War Spirit |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiz One Fee |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blessed Bloom |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shop Around Sue |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Yonna She Goes |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mila’s Gold |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Little Dixie K |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Smokin’ Carol |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Realmente Calmada |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
April Mae |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
She’s Got Moxy |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
Sassy Mallory |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Lucky for Us |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
Caneel Gray |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Suckerforagrey |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
Diamond Thief |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Cool Man |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Jr’s Sauvage |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Forestry’s Buddy |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kiss Your Bride |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Star of Ruston |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Talkothtown |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chasing a Saint |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Taybo Nation |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Village |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chase for the Gold |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whooz the King |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Itsa Flashmob |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.