January 10, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Doc’s Denita 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Chiles Legacy 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kris Stormin Free 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Given Grace 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Splashdown 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Kinky Kim 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Wapi 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Supersport Sally 3.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 My Mallory’s On 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Dance for Joy 20.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 See What’s What 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Island Blue 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Malila 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Elegant Idea 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Our Millie 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Untethered Soul 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Ide Stang You 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Toomuch 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Just Glossy 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Hot Yankee 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Doc’s Rocket 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Giant Collin 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Last Destiny 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Samurai’s Prize 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Swift Lisa 4.00 4 8-1
10 9 Christeana’s Kiss 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Toga Dance 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Racin Christina 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Gabriela’s Tears 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Somethingroyal P 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Safe Keeping 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 7 Witty Cry 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rossmoor Way 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Watch My Steam 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 I Call 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Rosecoloredglasses 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Gentlemen’s Girl 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Gettothepoint 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Mamadancesinthesky 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 I’m a Great Rebel 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 My Pal Em 5.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Sweet Silver 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Baby B Gone 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Chief Knockaway 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Steppin’ Outonher 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 He’s a Lady Tamer 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 K One Kobra 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Fancy This 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Gray Ransom 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Jake Jourdan 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Fast Time Streaker 30.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Arkansas Martini 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Montbrooks Miracle 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 A Band Apart 15.00 7.7 15-1
11 10 Big Maurice 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Claire’s Flair 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Moro Dreams 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fetchum Ketchum 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Mine Boss 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Destinedtobeastar 3.00 3 6-1
7 5 All Bizness 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Such 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Horsefeathers 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 6 Drewzano 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Goodnight Song 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rina Good 30.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Machi 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Kelley’s Dream 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 7 Star of Kobol 3.00 4 8-1
6 4 Jewels of Sorce 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 8 Hunky Dory 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 5 Theboyzblues 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Blue Ribbon Girl 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 Val’s Pal 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Cookin 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Maline 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Kodiak Sky 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Thegrayspider 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Our Easter Lily 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 War Spirit 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Tiz One Fee 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Blessed Bloom 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Shop Around Sue 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Yonna She Goes 10.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Mila’s Gold 10.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Little Dixie K 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Smokin’ Carol 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Realmente Calmada 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 April Mae 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 She’s Got Moxy 8.00 3 6-1
6 4 Sassy Mallory 10.00 4 8-1
9 7 Lucky for Us 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Caneel Gray 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Suckerforagrey 30.00 4.9 9-1
8 6 Diamond Thief 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Cool Man 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Jr’s Sauvage 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Forestry’s Buddy 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Kiss Your Bride 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Star of Ruston 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Talkothtown 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Chasing a Saint 30.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Taybo Nation 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Village 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Chase for the Gold 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Whooz the King 30.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Itsa Flashmob 30.00 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.