Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 10, 2019

January 10, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 New Year’s Wish 1.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Smiles From Sadie 2.00 3.5 7-1
1A 1 She’sakittykat 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Hexameter 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 My Girl Annie 6.00 4.3 8-1
3A 3 Madame Barbarian 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Battle of Saratoga 0.40 2.5 5-1
2 2 Run for Boston 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Killala Bay 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Scrutinize 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Golconda 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Support Our Cause 1.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Call the Cat 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Pragmatist 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Shiloh Lane 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Linns Boy 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Well in Tune 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 The Venerable Bede 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Step to the Bank 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Iona Mobe 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Into a Hot Spot 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Getyourmindright 1.60 3.4 6-1
4 4 Master Distiller 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mintz 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Starry Rose 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Science Fiction 1.60 2.6 5-1
1 1 Free Kitty 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Sweet Like Char 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Party in the Sand 2.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Forever Daisy 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Alley to Calvary 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Street Passion 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Courageous Queen 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Wilburnmoney 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Malarkey 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Two Hot Betty 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 American Mission 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Questeq 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Stars Wilburn 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Peter’s Project 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Calculated Risker 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Haul Anchor 4.00 4 7-1
7 7 Local Counsel 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Broadway Bay 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Here Comes Tommy 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Zabaione 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Fox Rules 6.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wall Street Annie 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Stirred Not Shakin 8.00 SCRATCH
8A 8 Ok Honey 2.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Kathy’s Cause 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Too Many Tales 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sweet Blindness 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Orbilicious 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Take It All Back 6.00 4.6 9-1
10A 10 Pendolino 2.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Bull Feathers 20.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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