January 10, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | New Year’s Wish | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smiles From Sadie | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 1 | She’sakittykat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hexameter | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Girl Annie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Madame Barbarian | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Battle of Saratoga | 0.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run for Boston | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Killala Bay | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scrutinize | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golconda | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Support Our Cause | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Call the Cat | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pragmatist | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shiloh Lane | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linns Boy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Well in Tune | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Venerable Bede | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Step to the Bank | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Iona Mobe | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into a Hot Spot | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Getyourmindright | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Master Distiller | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mintz | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starry Rose | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Science Fiction | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free Kitty | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Like Char | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party in the Sand | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Daisy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alley to Calvary | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Street Passion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Courageous Queen | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wilburnmoney | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malarkey | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Hot Betty | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Mission | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Questeq | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stars Wilburn | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Peter’s Project | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calculated Risker | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haul Anchor | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Local Counsel | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Bay | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Tommy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zabaione | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fox Rules | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wall Street Annie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stirred Not Shakin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Ok Honey | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kathy’s Cause | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Many Tales | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Blindness | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orbilicious | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take It All Back | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Pendolino | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bull Feathers | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.