January 6, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tenpins Tempo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Light Her Up | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pam’s Meadow | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Wind | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Girls Life | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D J Soul Sista | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tryon Summer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Russian Mafia | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy’s Reflection | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five B C | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lancelots Lady | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skip and a Hop | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Navy Regatta | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twirlingontheedge | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Born to D’ Wild | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starfish Point | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Kinda Devil | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Memory Magic | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Babaknowsevrything | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Fais Do Do | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Word of the Day | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Miss Curlin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Marquee Moment | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Looks Super | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Estrela Cadente | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Fetching Fury | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Miss Mercken | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parisian Stroll | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Spanish Angel | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Shook | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coco Honey | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Untruthful Sonnet | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Affaire Secrete | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wristlet | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lethal Move | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Even Called | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Assay | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crossfire | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ten Brownies | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Unbroken Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Call the Colonel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Oneholylion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Roar of the Lion | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Macho Bets | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mizztic Tale | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Round Hill | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Satellite | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wildscore | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hideaway Hero | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miracle Mountain | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Giant | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pops Legacy | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Workingforaliving | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moro Chief | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Knocks Big Thirst | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jazz It Up | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fair Shot | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Person to Person | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Famous Pen Pal | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buddy Rocket | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sharp Prospect | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Napoleon’s Empire | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Charcoal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Please Sit Down | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bring the Dough | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tweezer (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On the Muscle | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Johnny Wishbone | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conative | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jazzy Justin | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Moment | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Merlin’s Song | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lookin High | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Brother Pops | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Whoz Talkin Now | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Eights Wild | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Our Rapidash | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Blue Choice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Logan’s Reward | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piranha Tough | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Timeslikethese | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Il Est Vite | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sandana Heat | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Smitty | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.