January 6, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Regal Quality | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Starship Zeus | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Domain | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rogue Nation | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Double Deep | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dooley | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Takeoff | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chateau | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thefinalcrazydude | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Love Jaxson | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Latin Love Bug | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Honor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Siena Magic | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alrahaal | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shanghai Check | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Justinspeightofit | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Racing Raven | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bold Gem | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Captain Frost | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Classic Czar | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twelfthofneverland | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Durkin’s Call | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Letzgometz | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Success Hurricane | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Poker Game | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shock Therapy | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Amanjena | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marble Moon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Adversary | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oh K Funnybone | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dash for Dollars | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tazmonian Devil | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet August Lady | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Third Card Down | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zecha | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solitary Gem | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tayler’s the Boss | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parlapiano | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fingerpaint | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’saprettylady | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Princess | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Best Friend | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mary’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quietude | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stabilize | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arthur’s Hope | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tribecca | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speightful Kitten | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sicilia Mike | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Playthatfunnymusic | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Horoscope | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fiery Opal | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mascarello | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Retonova | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.