January 5, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Camino de Estrella | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incredible Luck | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Encumbered | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Van Cortlandt | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Invasion Looming | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Alex | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Sequoia | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Rebel | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | True Validity | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen of the Track | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Klaus | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lily Con | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fabulous Star | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palm d’Oro | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Falls | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aussie Fox | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Falcone | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Bob (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tastemaker | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reckless Gravity | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brioso | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Classic | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rare Journey | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kidmon | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Hollywood | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spa Shackalacka | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cayate | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Fallbrook | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | From the Distance | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schulace | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Loud Mouth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Palaleo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Mandate | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Volubile | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stubbins | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Parsimony | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Courier | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mutineer | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Mountain Spirit | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Light of the World | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kichiro | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hackberry | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muralist | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sensuous | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sir Samson | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Best Two Minutes | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zatter | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Bobby | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coil Me Home | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spokane Eagle | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goren | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Gabriel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Score | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Liam the Charmer | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Next Shares | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flamboyant (FR) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chicago Style | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Bend | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Warrior (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Arms Runner | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Popular Kid | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Big Train | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kylemore | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show Me Da Lute | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extrordinary Jerry | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Guinness | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Groom | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jamminwithbrandon | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Park | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sham S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coliseum | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gunmetal Gray | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Magician | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Much Better | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Savagery | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sueno | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Shot | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Magic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Brahms Forest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Paul’s Diva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sergio | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Getaloadofthis | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bless His Heart | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bitter Ring Home | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Violent Affair | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Derby Factor | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | When Jesus Walked | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dude’s Dude | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Chewy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.