January 5, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unexpected Visit | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavens Whisper | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Boots | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion’s Touch | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Shot to Win | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Zipcity | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Tyree | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freakonthelead | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crooked as Can Be | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rollwithit | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ide B a Classic | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Frenchie | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saints’ Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B’s Ten | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Brees | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yalisha | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crimson Feline | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Guitar | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kool Aid Girl | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curlabella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Humorous Kitten | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fostering Harmony | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ruthless Child | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rachael Got Even | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Golden Spur | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hallowed Lassie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 14 | Go for Moonshine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dahik | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Liam Skye | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | One Hitter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tornado Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Nobutzaboutit | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No Boundaries | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Baskin | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shared Value | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Arch of Ages | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harkins Hall | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Abominable Snowman | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Harbor | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Machinist | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Easton Empress | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cimarron | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden Lullabye | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Squatchingwithlyss | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gavins Little Sis | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ice Ghost | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Burns Flat | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kaylie’s Boots | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Verity Jane | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Farmavet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Desert Rendezvous | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gamblin Train | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Ballad | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stylish Ash | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple City Terror | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Passage | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bee Bit | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ravenel | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Nerissa | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | How Did She Do It | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ishtar | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nebulas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Givemeaminit | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charge the Line | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aw Shucks | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Creed | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snapper Bite | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | State Treasurer | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pan Zareta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hotshot Anna | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Oxford Comma | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wild About Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Goldberry | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brielle’s Appeal | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Last Shot | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’s All Skeet | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Contributing | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | La Dame Blanche | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Excessivespending | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Upset Brewing | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Touch of Bling | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stonefactor | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Persephone’s Dawn | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Red Roux | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Mr Haney | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | My Man Jax | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Causeur | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Latrobe’s King | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Fast | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Sky | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Pleasant Street | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Lascivious | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.