January 5, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Irish Glitter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Causin’ Trouble | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Youmakemeblush | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Promise Me Roses | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Got the Gist | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Needs No Ice | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Low Is Laine | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trustworthy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playwright | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monteleone | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stronger | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unpredictable | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Expert | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tzipi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Winifred J | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Delta Gamma | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bee’snbee’s | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cornetta’s Choice | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Intoxicologist | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | In Denile | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Overtime Olivia | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mrs. Orb | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sonic Force | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dreamers and Me | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Turn and Bern | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anne’s Song | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bourbon High | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Joule | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sudden Surprise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Preservationist | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye Luv Lulu | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Still Krz | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Almithmaar | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reed Kan | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angry Moon | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Judge Stanton | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | D Emcee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bobby Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Falsifier | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Castle Casanova | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Tales | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Therisastormbrewin | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Bo | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fleet Warrior | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Top of the Mint | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pour It Out | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hushion | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Big Browning | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ark in the Dark | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stoney Bennett | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Have Another | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fully Vested | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bon Raison | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Caretaker | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forced | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Redyornothereicome | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Verdad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Satisfy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Out of Orbit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Kathryn the Wise | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Starlite Mission | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pauseforthecause | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sunset Ridge | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Palladian Bridge | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Byself | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silly Sister | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Playinwiththeboys | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Metaphorical | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Golden Giant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Simma Cum Laude | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Bobby G | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Never Nevermore | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Carmine’s Honor | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Rockin Jo | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Raging Fire | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Storm Scat | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Won’t Be Missed | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.