January 4, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’ll Do | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paynterbynumbers | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon and Stars | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy That | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silk Assassin | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excess Capacity | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spun to Run | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tikhvin Flew | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | U R Not So Bad | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Romeo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pulsate | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Solitary Gem | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Jen Brady | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Khaleesi | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somethingwithlilly | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stay Good | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caitriona | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aly’s All Out | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Regal Retort | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whyisshesoolucky | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dizzy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Allison | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Coffee | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stay Smart | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Banker | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Guide | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shamcat | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let Me Go First | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Admiral Blue | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halloween Horror | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Its All Relevant | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outplay | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dublinthepleasure | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shalako | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toohottoevenspeak | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | E J’s Legacy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Playthatfunnymusic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Holy Week | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Gio d’Oro | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Singapore Trader | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Storm Prophet | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Papa Shot | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Cause I’m Alex | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swift Vengeance | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mrs Vargas | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Expense | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Crossing | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Way Over Budget | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Pleasantly | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frosty Linz | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.